EarningsBeats.com Digest for May 1, 2020
Dear Digest Subscriber,
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Knowing What To Avoid Is As Important As Knowing What To Buy
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As more and more companies approach their quarterly earnings report, we need to understand that Wall Street has been conversing with management teams of these companies and has been placing bets on the bullish and bearish scenarios. While we have been largely focused on companies showing relative strength and strong accumulation/distribution lines, many companies are showing the opposite and, therefore, I'd be extremely cautious holding these companies
into earnings reports. One example would be American Intl Group (AIG), which reports quarterly results before the bell on Monday, May 4th:
AIG has a very weak AD line and has struggled on multiple occasions near the 27.50 level. On Thursday, AIG fell 6.6% and now needs to hold its 20 day EMA. It may eventually break key price resistance and its rapidly-declining 50 day SMA (red arrow), but I'd need to see it first. In the meantime, I believe the path of least resistance is lower. There is nothing at all bullish about this chart. Its industry group has been under a ton
of selling pressure and AIG has been among the worst vs. its industry peers. Monday's quarterly earnings may provide details of what Wall Street has been seeing for weeks. Anything is possible, but the odds are stacked against the bulls. Keep that in mind.
Happy trading!
Tom Bowley
Chief Market Strategist
EarningsBeats.com
Better Timing. Better Trades.
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