EarningsBeats.com Digest for January 31, 2020
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Dear EarningsBeats Digest Member,
You are Invited to a Special Saturday Webinar at 2pm eastern tomorrow: "Exploring the NEW StockCharts.com ChartList-Sharing Feature with Earnings Encore."
It's going to be a good one! Just click below to lean more:
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What To Do With A Hot Stock In A Cold Group
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This is always a dilemma for me as a trader. You see a chart that looks really good, but its industry group is being ignored by Wall Street. What do you do? Well, if I'm trading a stock like this between earnings dates, I make sure that my reward to risk is very strong. Otherwise, it's not worth the gamble. Second, I don't make excuses if it breaks down.
Honor that stop. It's entirely possible that Wall Street is getting wind of an earnings problem and if that's occurring in a weak industry group, it can be disastrous. Harmonic, Inc. (HLIT) is in that very spot. It's at a great entry point. HOWEVER, earnings are on tap for Monday. Take a look at the chart, because there's a lot to talk about here:
First, note the false breakout one week ago above 8.40. A long tail above price resistance and failure to break out typically results in further weakness and it did in this case as well. The last week has been torture for HLIT shareholders, but I believe there's hope on the horizon. Thus far, key gap support has held, one good sign. Then check out the black
arrows on the chart. They mark price and relative strength highs simultaneously in December. That's the look of a stock in very good stead on Wall Street. I like HLIT, but with the understanding that the risk is higher given the industry group's overall relative weakness.
Tomorrow at 2pm EST, I'll be hosting a webinar to discuss (1) a new, exciting feature at StockCharts, and (2) analyzing charts of companies set to report earnings. As to the latter, I'll discuss the very impressive results to last week's Q4 earnings analysis, as well as provide a large number of companies reporting in the week ahead, with my analysis of whether I'd want to be
long or short the stock, based on its technical signals - an "earnings encore", if you will. I hope you can make it!
Happy trading!
Tom Bowley
Chief Market Strategist
EarningsBeats.com
Better Timing. Better Trades.
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